Yankee Roundtable » Predictions

Excitement in Mudville

Joe — Wed, 30 Mar 2011 20:59:17 +0000

This is what I predicted on this site several weeks ago and I stand by it.

“Yankees record: 96-66, Wild card winner. They beat the Red Sox in the ALCS. Go on to beat the Phillies in the World Series.”

You guys are a bunch of wimps… giving up already. Where’s your spirit? Where’s your pride? C’mon, it’s opening day tomorrow! Get with it!

No excitement in Mudville

Russ — Wed, 30 Mar 2011 15:46:55 +0000

We are a day away from the 2011 campaign, and there is no excitement on this site. Despite feeling the Yankees are going to finish in third, I think we’re going to have an exciting summer of baseball.

AL East:
Boston 94 wins
Toronto 89 wins
New York 87 wins
Tampa Bay 85 wins
Baltimore 82 wins

Discuss.

Better Predictions

Joe — Tue, 08 Feb 2011 17:35:51 +0000

Too much doom and gloom on this site lately. Here’s what I think

Jeter: .309 6 HR 69 RBI – Agree. Nice bounce back
A-Rod: .285 37 HR 122 RBI – Takes 3rd place in MVP voting
Teixeira: .277 39 HR 115 RBI
Cano: .313 25 HR 99RBI – Agree
Swisher: .298 19 HR 89 RBI – Agree
Martin: .281 8 HR 51 RBI – Agree, but he splits time with Montero
Montero: .325 12 HR 44 RBI – by end of season he becomes almost full time catcher
Posada: .287 18 HR 75RBI – Agree
Granderson: .289 29 HR 90 RBI – Agree
Gardner: .291 4 HR 50RBI Agree , but has 50 SB’s
Sabathia: 3.55 ERA, 20-9
Hughes: 4.05 ERA, 17-7
Burnett: 4.40 ERA, 14-10
Nova: 4.31 ERA, 13-10 Has a nice year for a #4
Brackman: 4.87 ERA, 5-5 – OK This could be Garcia or someone else. Doesn’t matter
Rivera: 1.95 ERA 38 saves
Soriano: 1.38 ERA Almost unhitable. Shortens the game.
Meche: 2.20 ERA 10-1 Yankees trade for him at the deadline. His resurgence helps Yanks win the wild card. Wins 2 games in the World Series… 1 start and 1 in relief.

Yankees record: 96-66, Wild card winner. The Bull Pen becomes the teams strength.

They beat the Red Sox in the ALCS. Go on to beat the Phillies in the World Series.

2011: Individual Yankee Predictions

John B — Mon, 07 Feb 2011 18:08:49 +0000

Jeter: .309 6 HR 69 RBI
A-Rod: .219 19 HR 84 RBI
Teixeira: .247 27 HR 101 RBI
Cano: .313 25 HR 99RBI
Swisher: .298 19 HR 89 RBI
Martin: .281 8 HR 51 RBI
Posada: .287 18 HR 75RBI
Granderson: .289 29 HR 90 RBI
Gardner: .291 4 HR 50RBI
Sabathia: 3.89 ERA, 16-12
Hughes: 4.31 ERA, 15-7
Burnett: 5.02 ERA, 8-18
Nova: 3.31 ERA, 19-10
Brackman: 4.02 ERA, 13-10

Yankees record: 89-73, Third place

Prediction Check

Mike T — Thu, 02 Sep 2010 15:37:31 +0000

On July 21 I wrote down my predictions of what the AL East would look like on September 1. On August 11, I published those predictions here. Lets see how I did:

Team	Prediction	Actual	Diff
Yankees	83-49	82-50	-1
Rays	79-53	81-51	+2
Sox	76-56	74-58	-2

Pretty much nailed the Yankees performance (the KC series split 2-2 instead of 3-1 is essentially the difference), and slightly underestimated the Rays. I did not predict that Pedroia would be out for the year which has impacted the Red Sox tremendously, but I still was only two games off. These were predictions over 38-40 games. Apparenlty, Mr. Sterling, you CAN predict baseball.

2 over

Mike T — Wed, 11 Aug 2010 16:16:57 +0000

That is the Yankees record in the 2nd half so far. 13-11 since the All-Star break and 3-6 in August. The test vs Tam, Tor, Boston and Tex (4-7 so far) has been a failure. And today they face Cliff Lee. Good Luck. I place most of the blame for this on the offense, which has been maddeningly inconsistent in doing the “little things.” Failing to move runners, get fly balls with men on third etc.

Starting on Thursday, the Yankees have 11 games against Kansas City, a depleted Detroit team and Seattle. Time to rebuild some confidence. On July 21, I wrote down what I think the standings will be on Sept 1:

NYY 83-49
TAM 79-53
BOS 76-56

The Yankees have some work to do to meet my prediction (14-6) but its possible with the rest of the August Schedule (@KC, DET, SEA, @TOR, @CWS, OAK). Tampa need only go 10-9 to meet my original prediction but face a tougher schedule resurgent-Showalter inspired BAL, TEX, @ OAK, @LAA, BOS and TOR).

Time to get Fat

Mike T — Wed, 02 Jun 2010 16:50:39 +0000

The Yankees have had one of the toughest schedules so far this season (6th toughest with .510 oppoenents winning %)-(Boston has had the toughest at .521). Tampa has had the third easiest (.487 opponents win %). With Cleveland in the rear view mirror and the following teams coming up in June, its time for the Yankees to get fat.

Baltimore
@ Toronto
@ Baltimore
Houston
Philadelphia (struggling)
Mets (at our house they maybe win 1)
@ Arizona
@ LA Dodgers
Seattle

My prediction is after the Seattle game on July 1, 2010, the Yankees will have played this stretch at 9 or 10 games over .500 and have a record of 49-29 or 50-28.

Speaking of A-Rod….

Mike T — Mon, 28 Sep 2009 16:38:17 +0000

Here’s a little update on our projections for A-Rod and where he is today…..

ALEX -Â as of 9/28 – 123 Hits, 28 HR, 93 RBI .285 AVG

Predictions….

John BÂ – 126 H,Â 29 HR, 95 RBI, .281
John S – 126H, 32 HR, 91 RBI, .272 AVG
Joe – 125 H, 30 HR, 100 RBI, .279 AVG
Ellen – 127 H, 28 HR, 96 RBI, .276 AVG (hoping higher)
Mike G – 128 H, 31 HR, 98 RBI, .282 AVG
Russ – 119 H, 29 HR, 94 RBI, .280 AVG
Mike T – 124 H, 30 HR, 96 RBI, .285 AVG

With 6 games to play, looks like we were all pretty closte.Â It will depend on how many days Alex rests. At this point, my guess is he gets to 30 HR, and finishes with 97 or 98 RBI and a mid .280 AVG.Â Closest to that is probably Mike G.Â But let’s see.

Where will A-Rod end up?

Joe — Fri, 04 Sep 2009 14:36:27 +0000

Here are A-Rod’s stats through last night.Â What will they be at the end of the regular season?Â Let’s see which Roundtabler comes closest. There are 25 games left.Â Don’t know what the prize will be, but we’ll think of something.Â Two points for the closest in each category.Â Ties get one point each.Â Ellen, since you’re our most prolific commentor, you can play too.

RBI

AVG

A Rodriguez

100

0.276

Opening Day Roster Challenge

Mike T — Thu, 06 Nov 2008 20:58:21 +0000

Ok here’s my crazy predictions (guaranteed not to happen). Also guaranteed to excite John B like a teenage boy on Prom night because they involve ridiculous trades and spending like drunken sailors. Without further adieu.

Trades
Matt Holliday – Acquired in 3 way trade with Colorado and Seattle. Matsui to Seattle for Ryan Rowland Smith, Rowland Smith and Cano and Kennedy (or another prospect) to Colorado for Holliday.
Mike Cameron – Acquired from Milwaukee for Cabrerra and Betemit
Jake Peavy – Acquired from SD for Hughes and Austin Jackson

Free Agent Acquisitions
CC Sabathia
Mark Texiera
Orlando Hudson
Adam Dunn

Rotation
CC Sabathia (L)
Jake Peavy (R)
Joba Chamberlain (R)
Chein Ming Wang (R)
Andy Pettitte (L)

Lineup
1. Damon (DH) (LF occasionally) L
2. Jeter (SS) R
3. Rodriguez (3B) R
4. Texiera (1B) S
5. Holliday (LF) R
6. Posada (C) S
7. Nady (RF) R or Dunn (RF) L
8. Hudson (2b) S
9. Cameron (CF) R

Bullpen
Rivera
Coke (L)
Marte (L)
Bruney (R)
Britton (R)
Ramirez (R)
Veras (R)

Bench
Dunn
Molina
Gardner
Ransom

Damon is the spare part in this lineup/team. I would look to move him in season shift the Jeter to Lead off and move Hudson to the two hole and let Dunn/Posada split the DH duties and get Molina in the game more often. Leave Aceves in the Minors to start the season.